Christmas Vacation

Folks it’s time for me to recharge the batteries..  I’ll be leaving the blog today so that I have some time to wrap up a few left-over items..  then I take to the skies for my Christmas vacation..  I’ll try to upload some shots from the trip and stop in to post if anything major comes up but barring that, you will need to get your daily domain fix from one of the many new outlets for industry related news and info..  see the blogroll at left ;)

I’m gonna miss you guys..  I wish you all a safe and happy New Year with much domain prosperity in 2008 …  It’s going to be a very exciting year.

Disruptive Technology to Change Advertising as We Know it

http://domainstate.com/showthread.php3?s=8444324b3e3a6a31b47609a0ffc57499&threadid=84905

We can all feel the changes reverberate across the Web..  Domain names registered by small registrants and large aggregators who create content and take eyeballs/market share away from established media/content co’s are the ultimate disruptive technology. It’s a great time to be in this industry..  I’m really looking forward to seeing what happens.

Monday Linkfest

Elliot blogs about the 3 letter .com realm.

http://www.elliotsblog.com/index.php/2007/12/10/b-king-on-three-letter-com-sales/

***FS*** There are only 17,576 3 letters in .com ..  This piece probably explains which a have gotten scores of spam sales offers for my three letter and 3 number domains over the past few days.
Google reduces the importance of sub domains in it’s ranking system.

Excerpt: “As eBay and others have aggressively used subdomains to dominate branded AND unbranded search results, and Google has improved their sitelinks technology, any relevancy gain by treating subdomains as a separate site will be going away. Google is going to start  treating subdomains like subfolders, and limit the number of results from any site to just two.” http://www.domainnews.com/general/2007120823/google-changing-handling-of-sub-domains/#more-1905

***FS*** Enjoy getting google traffic.  Don’t rely on it as the primarily source for traffic for your website/business. The best traffic is the traffic tha Google wants to “buy”  and that traffic comes from generic type-in traffic producing domain names.

Microsoft introduces free Live.in email addresses to Indians.

http://www.domainnews.com/general/2007120817/microsoft-india-introduces-new-livein-e-mail-domain/

***FS***  I think many more folks would run email on their own proprietary domains (for email) if they understood how to go about it.  There is a knowlege gap where getting email or getting a domain is not simple enough for regular folks.  Domain values will have their next dramatic leg-up when an intermediary comes along that makes the registration, management and renewal of names and email easier for the average person…  and once that application “takes off” in a significant mainstream way. Perhaps a mechanism that allows anyone to get an email on anyone else’s name or pays a fee for each email account to the name-holder.

Josh: Elliot Silver takes some of Jay W’s advice…

.. and thanks him for it. Elliot bought an existing site that google didn’t include in it’s results.  By following Jay’s advice, his name was reincluded, now appears as the #1 listing, and he’s getting additional traffic.  Even the experts learn something from time-to-time. There’s alot of learning from each other going on in the domain/development realm. http://www.elliotsblog.com/index.php/2007/12/08/thank-you-jay/

More from Elliot:  Honesty and integrity critical when doing business in the domain realm.  To be fair it’s critical everywhere http://www.elliotsblog.com/index.php/2007/12/08/domain-industry-lesson-1/

Sahar opens his blog wider,

..and hopes to spark discussions and learning in his new area call “Debates”. http://www.conceptualist.com/category/debates/

***FS***  Another great idea from Sahar

79.1 percent of marketers plan to increase their online budgets for 2008.

No surprise here, but good to see nonetheless.

http://www.btobonline.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20071207/FREE/71207006

ParkingWhois.com

Smart idea that’s in beta.  Tells you if a domain is parked or not, and where.  Problem is i tried 5 examples.  Two worked, and the other 3 said the domain is not parked,.. and it is.  It was a bit slow on a couple of the searches.  They need to make it more accurate or this service won’t get used.

Music business in Japan sees 1% rise in sales

…industry observers attribute this to mobile music downloads. http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/programmes/click_online/7130596.stm

ConsumerReports.org

…Paid subscriptions, no ads.  3 million viewers who pay for web access. 4.5 million who buy the print vrsion. 208 million in revenue and operating margin of 28 million. http://www.news.com/Success-without-ads/2100-1038_3-6222063.html?tag=nefd.top

***FS***  Only 13% margins..  Sounds low for a publishing outfit. 

Ad company installs tracking capabilities at the ISP level.

SP’s hold alot of power.  With great ower comes great responsibility.. Without great responsibility, comes great regulation. http://www.theglobeandmail.com/servlet/story/RTGAM.20071209.wsniff1209/BNStory/Technology/home

“The Ultimate Domain Name Guide”

I think it’s from 2006.  It’s relevant today.

The headline is over the top.  That said, it’s a good overview, especially for people just getting started.  The writer, Sebastian Robinson, thinks that the right domain name is critical for your business. Excerpt: “Domain names have become more than just an address on the web. Today they can make or break a business.”

Josh says:  I don’t think a domain name can make a business. (Unless your business is buying and selling domains, or parking names that have type in traffic.)   But, i agree with the basic sentiment that having the right name / domain name is important, if not very important.  The writer is mistaken that the .XXX extension has been granted. http://www.micromart.co.uk/features/article/default.aspx?id=22516

A Visit to Art Basel in Miami Makes Mike Berkins Appreciate how Cheap Domains Are

   http://www.thedomains.com/2007/12/08/domains-are-cheap/

This piece deserves to be set apart from the Linkfest..  Berkins has that “oh-my-gosh” moment and realizes how cheap domain names are when viewed against overpriced pieces of modern-art. Art hangs on a wall and costs you money..  Domains activate on the Web and “make you money”. To be fair..  the art market is held-up by inflation and aspration..  returns are made via the sale of pieces to a richer buyer or greater fool..  Domains often contain revenue streams in the form of traffic which help pay for the up-front acquisition cost..  Art typically doesn’t ..  unless it’s a Monet and you lease it to a museum.

I know many of us have experienced the same epiphany about the value of domain names relative to other real-world items..  This one is just the latest but is very poignant.

Give it a few years .. people will start to figure out that perhaps less than 10 million domain names have any generic or descriptive value to anyone. When that concept becomes widely accepted you’ll see an even greater appreciation in the values of those names.  Get them while you still can.

The Blind Leading Those Who Can Not See

 Beware of Domain Name Traffickers. by John F. Letchford: (From the Archer and Greiner Intellectual Property website.)

Excerpt: “”Domain parking sites collect and index additional links where domain name registrants share revenue generated by web traffic but do not directly compete with the holders of similar legitimate trademarks or brand names. Registrants of parking sites typically use computer software to automatically register expired domain names and then ‘park’ those domains on pay-per-click portal sites..”
http://www.archerip.com/beware-of-domain-name-traffickers/

***FS*** That statement above is just wrong. That is not a “typical” parking practice. In fact if anything in this author’s piece is “typical” it’s the incorrect use of industry lingo and vernacular serving to cheapen a well intended piece summarizing the ills that plague the domain industry..  It’s unfortunate that some IP wonks (intentionally or unintentionally) throw the baby out with the bath-water, lumping domain parking, legitimate monetization and domain name investment activities with the darker ills of kiting trademarks and cybersquatting.  Reading this piece I was left wondering what kind of Internet folks like Mr. Letchford would have us all visit? There is no Internet without domain name registrants.  Shrill pieces which lump the good and bad elements of domain investment together, simply serve to flail their arms at decent newcomers wanting to learn more about the space.

I get the sense that the secondary domain “trafficking” or domain resale industry would surely be legitimate if it were controlled by “legitimate” clients like mother telco or father infrastructure co.. or aunt search engine – any legitimate brand really, who will pay the bills of IP ‘experts’ who know little of entrepreneurship and turn a blind eye to cottage industry American capitalism..  I have a good deal of disdain for those who come late to an industry, know little about the subject matter about which they write, then speak from an expert’s pulpit, only to place their feet in their mouths by mischaracterizing the space they profess to have knowledge about.

The Gift That Keeps on Giving

Conor writes:

“”I am giving fullname.com domains as gifts for Christmas this year. Any suggestions on how to give as a gift? I am thinking about just registering and hosting myself and if they want to take full control I will transfer it to an account they create. Otherwise, I’m not sure how to register in another person’s name easily (have to create and verify whois info for them and setup payments for them, etc.). Asking Elliot the same, but not sure if there is an easy answer. I know the domain gift card idea has been mentioned previously, but how about just gifting domains in general?”"

   ***FS*** Giving a name domain gift can be a big responsibility ..  and if done correctly, can really change a person’s online life.  I would renew the name for 10 years upfront..  spend the $100 or so, so that the name doesn’t expire right away..  I’d set the name up in a seperate account with a top-tier registrar and a very easy to remember password (unless the name is bobsmith.com it’s unlikely that somebody will try to hack the account and hijack the name) .. You want an easy password because the person receiving your gift may not be net/name savvy and may let their administrative email address lapse at some point over the next 10 years and you don’t want to loose control of that registration.  Conversely you could manage the name on behalf of the gift’s recipient..  I’m still managing family gift names ..  my oldest one is 7 years now.  I couldn’t buy that name back today and have actually had offers to sell the name, so you are doing the right thing..  It’s entirely likely that you won’t be able to get your desired .com first and last name in 5-10 years time.

Yet Another Reason to Buy J&J Stock

Danno writes: 

Danno_2  “”Watched a TV comercial this morning, advertising this website: http://www.discovernursing.com/

Johnson & Johnson ‘gets’ generic domain names. Maybe someone should invite the person in charge of their marketing to speak at domainfest about how generic domain names have added value to their business(s).”"

***FS***   So right Danno..  these folks have done a terrific job with Baby.com and all their names really.  They sooooo “get” it.  A few major corps have had marketing staff with great naming instincts.. I remember P&G had one of the biggest generic name portfolios back in the mid nineties.  They ultimately let many of those valuable names expire..  I scooped some of them up at the depth of the bust (ie. razorblades.com) .. They still own some of their big single word generics but many of their compound phrases expired.. I can only hypothesize that the individual who acquired their portfolio was let go or left to go to another company.

When Domain Managers Go Bad

Andy sends link: http://seattlepi.nwsource.com/local/6420ap_wa_microsoft_domain_fraud.html

   ***FS***  So much loose money and price swings in the domain business…  a perfect opportunity for ne’er-do-wells to profit..  Only one problem..  it’s hard to keep a secret on the Internet. Crime doesn’t pay..  especially online.

Weekend Linkfest

Everyone is Doing It

http://www.elliotsblog.com/index.php/2007/12/07/everybodys-doing-it/

***FS*** Investing in domain names that is ;)

Domain Valuations : Chris Stewart

Domain Value (DV)=Traffic Value (TV)+Brand Value
(BV)+Utility Value (UV)+Discretionary Value (DiV) : Part 1
http://marketforlemons.com/?p=5

Via.com sells for 157,000.

(scroll down.) http://www.domainstate.com/showthread.php3?s=bf857a50211d7889c72645f54b38beb6&threadid=84867  Great name to build on.  Good price for buyer (fully valued for name-investor), esp if they are going to develop.  Via would be a good name  for a search engine or some kind of portal.  Lot of other possibilities.  Has meaning in multiple languages.

Danno_2 From Danno:

AfternicDLS Member Sells UI.com for $275K (nice story)

http://afternicdlsblog.com/2007/12/07/afternic-success-story-uicom-sells-for-275k/

 ***FS***  Still sooo much untapped opportunity in the name business for those who care to try. 

iREIT leaves the ICA

(Scroll down at the link.)
http://dnjournal.com/newsletters/2007/november.htm

***FS***  It was really more Bob Martin who was behind iReit’s participation in the ICA..  with Bob gone it’s no surprise the group dropped out.

Sedo.com now shows that invest.com sold for $ 1,015,000.

http://www.greatdomains.com/auction/auction_history.php?language=us&auction_id=21998&tracked=&partnerid=32392  Josh says :  I think the buyer got a good deal. You can buy a parking spot in Central London for  $50,000 – $90,000 and in some cases you’ll pay considerable monthly fees on it.  And to go with your parking space, you can buy this 3 bedroom, 3 bedroom flat for $13,000,000. http://www.findaproperty.com/displayprop.aspx?edid=00&salerent=0&pid=059058&agentid=07711
Renewal fee each year on invest.com: $ 7.50 . Taxes and maintenance costs on your $13,000,000 flat in London: Priceless.

***FS***  Agree with J’man’s logic but as a wildcat investor (me) who has to front the 1mm,  the carrying charge is about 70k a year.. so I’d say the name’s fully valued from an invetor’s perspective.

Considerable controversy around the sale of Music.mobi.

Excerpt: “Constantine Giorgio Roussos thought he was the winner of Music.mobi in yesterday’s.mobi auction at Sedo. He bid $66,000. The auction ended and he received an automated invoice from Sedo. He then received a  “personal” e-mail from a Sedo employee (which also may have been automated). But then something happened. Sedo extended the auction due to a server slowdown in the final minutes of the auction.” The name was then sold to someone else who bid $616,000.  http://domainnamewire.com/2007/12/07/musicmobi-winner-vows-lawsuit-against-sedo/

***FS*** This is the classic fight over nothing.  Wouldn’t be surprised if it’s a publicity stunt.

Opportunity Cost of Lost Opportunities.

Interesting article by Elliot Silver.  Sometimes you “overpay” now, and benefit later.  Perhaps you never overpaid in the first place. http://www.elliotsblog.com/index.php/2007/12/07/opportunity-cost-of-lost-opportunities/

***FS***  Historically speaking, if the name was generic and got type-in-traffic, it was very hard to loose money in the domain biz..  the market has consistently caught up to your overpayment..  That won’t go on forever tho.

Light of Logic Creeping Through

New York Times David Pogue blasts companies that have chosen wierd and hard to remember company names.He points out plenty of hard to remember names. Trulia and Zillow are two better examples than “Fark” which is witty enough.

http://www.nytimes.com/2007/12/06/technology/personaltech/06pogue-email.html?ex=1354683600&en=e08b6ea2e4dad1dd&ei=5124&partner=permalink&exprod=permalink

Danno_2Danno Sends Related

Seussical-Sounding Web Site Names

http://pogue.blogs.nytimes.com/2007/12/06/the-dr-seuss-jumble-naming-web-sites/?hp 

***FS*** Nice to see people having that..  “hayyy… waita minute.  “  moment of logic setting in.  Most Web2 names are awful.

Eric Litman becomes Managing Director of WashingtonVC.

http://www.domainnews.com/general/2007120709/eric-litman-becomes-managing-director-of-washingtonvc/#more-1890

***FS***  Congrats Eric.

Where’s the money?

Excerpt: “”The venture (capital) industry is headed into a wall. All the best companies are being sold,” Deninger said. “For seven straight years, the number of companies going public has declined. That means the number of (prospective) buyers is also declining. Eventually, the VCs will have fewer companies that they can sell their companies to.”"  http://www.news.com/8301-10784_3-9830529-7.html?tag=nefd.blgs

***FS*** Blame SarbOx man ..  People are getting sloppy overpaying for nothing and the good stuff never sees the light of day..  Irony: Rules meant to protect investors only serve to make the rich richer and give said investors fewer opportunities.

Chris Stewart’s New Blog

http://marketforlemons.com/?p=4 

Domainer Chris Stewart runs through the numbers for us and explains why Name Media’s leveraging up is a “good thing”. Chris is a very bright guy and this is an excellent post and argument. Posted in it’s entirity with permission:

Why Companies Borrow, and Why I Think NameMedia Borrowed Smart

This is the first post on our blog so I thought I would start off with something that is both timely and controversial: DEBT. Timely because of last week’s announcement that NameMedia had completed a deal to establish a $125 million credit facility; and controversial because of the topsy-turvy ride we have taken in the global equity markets this past month mostly attributed to the spillover from credit concerns in the US. Therefore, I believe that speaking to the topic of debt is a great starting point.


Before I go into some financial analysis let me first state that, admittedly, debt is an uncomfortable topic for me. I am not fond of debt, personally. As a business manager, however, debt can and often is the best friend to a growing company. It is cheap – let’s come to this a little later, and it is often easy to acquire. Quite simply, debt shouldn’t be a dirty word. And using debt to finance acquisitions or new capital projects should not be frowned upon.


Debt is cheap. What do I mean by this? Well, I should be more specific and say that debt is almost always relatively cheaper than other financing sources. It is cheaper than other financing sources because the interest payment on debt is also a tax deductible expense. The impact of this on the cost of debt can be significant. In financial terms, the amount of “benefit” you receive from being able to deduct your interest payments on your income statements is equal to your marginal tax rate multiplied by your borrowing rate. Wow, that was a lot to say. So, instead of trying to explain this let me illustrate this for you.

 Let’s imagine a scenario where you are seeking $100,000 to finance new projects. You are given two choices. Your first choice is to use debt financing at a borrowing rate of 15% p.a. and your second choice is to sell shares of your company to an investor who demands a 12% p.a. return on his/her investment achieved through an annual dividend payment. And, let’s further imagine that you already have an opportunity to invest the funds into a new domain acquisition, which will cost $100,000 and yield $20,000 in annual gross cash flow. We will assume you are a profitable company with a 35% marginal tax rate. Which method of financing would you choose based solely on the “numbers”? Let’s take a look…

graph.GIF

From this over-simplified analysis above you may be surprised to see that, despite having a higher borrowing rate it is the debt financing choice providing the most benefit to your company. This isn’t always the case because we could fiddle with the borrowing rate, the required rate of return from the investor, or the tax rate to achieve numerous different results. But what I wanted to show you here is that even when things appear to be cheaper (such as the investor who only wants a 12% dividend) they may not always be.


One of the quick and dirty ways to figure out your effective borrowing rate on debt is to do this quick calculation. Multiply your corporate tax rate by the rate quoted to you by the debt financier. If you are borrowing at 18% and your tax rate is 25% then your benefit is 25%*18%=4.5%. Then reduce your borrowing rate by the benefit you just calculated, or 18%-4.5%=13.5%, which is your effective borrowing rate. Recall, this benefit is attributed to your ability (in most cases) to deduct interest expense on the income statement.


Clearly, I have ignored all of the “soft” considerations when choosing between debt and equity financing. Some people, like me, don’t particularly like debt. Others prefer the benefit of having the inputs of investors who may be more experienced. No amount of value can be placed on having mentors guide you in the right direction and surely your debt financier won’t be answering the phone at midnight to “discuss the business.”


What’s more, my calculation doesn’t demonstrate when and IF you should choose either form of financing. There is a separate calculation to figure out if you should borrow to finance a new acquisition altogether. I can, however, give you a tip to remember: if the net return on the asset is greater than the effective borrowing rate then you should probably invest. That’s a great topic for my next post so come back to see me massage some numbers to make that one work out for you.


Speaking of debt, most recently we learned that NameMedia has established a new credit facility for $125 million, which will be used to pay down a prior credit facility and for continuing operations and new acquisitions. And while I am not privy to the specifics I can probably estimate that this deal is both positive for NameMedia and the domain industry overall. Having perused some of the other domain blogs I have yet to see anyone come out and give a good/bad opinion on this announcement. I have seen some comments from individual posters who believe that this news had negative implications. I couldn’t disagree more.


As I illustrated above, debt financing is typically cheaper than equity financing. And for a company, such as NameMedia, I would argue that equity financing is significantly costlier to the company than debt. Recall, NameMedia has recently filed for their IPO and I believe that investors would place a discount rate (a.k.a. required rate of return) of anywhere between 15-20% on the firm’s equity value. Such a significant discount rate would lower the equity value of the company, requiring NameMedia to issue a greater number of shares to raise the capital necessary to paydown its previous credit facility. This scenario (on a much larger scale) resembles the average Joe paying one credit card bill with another credit card carrying a higher interest rate. Using new debt, rather than equity, to paydown the previous debt is the better alternative.


I also believe that this new credit facility is positive because it signals to me that the creditors believe NameMedia’s cash flows are both stable and long-term, at least enough to cover the debt going forward.


I would not be surprised if we see NameMedia cancel or reduce the size of its IPO altogether, and here’s why. From my calculations, I believe that NameMedia’s cost of equity financing is north of 15% and as high as 20%. There is no similar tax benefit to equity financing when compared to debt financing. And if you are borrowing at 15-20% from the markets then any and all new capital projects suddenly have this rate of return as the benchmark for new investments,…anyone know someone selling generic domain portfolios at 5x? I didn’t think so. The prior need to “go public” was to paydown the prior expiring credit facility and with this need now answered to by the new credit facility I see no reason for the company to require a significant source of capital at such a high cost at this time. I think it’s also important to note that the planned sale of equity was not an exit strategy for the current shareholders, as stated in the IPO, it was merely an exercise in raising capital”"

***FS*** My personal aversion to debt is several fold.  As the credit markets have shown this year,  you can’t necessarily control when the bank will stop lending ..and for unforseen reasons, or when they’ll call a loan on you..  If everyone levered up and carried debt,  we could get to a precarious place where no company operates to it’s full potential.  There is no such thing as “no strings attached” and when you start taking money from strangers, their covenants on what you can/can’t do with your business often become restrictive and fail to allow the company to take risks and make investments otherwise possible if they were unleveraged.  This can hold the company’s true potentiual back..  lastly..  not everyone operates from a tax jurisdiction..  Drug companies, and other multinationals often use transfer pricing to offset the tax benefit that debt provides..  Ditto with a domain biz which can be run from anywhere..  Even a little island 250 miles south of cuba. :)